Below is our prediction primarily based on the data points listed on this page. The margin of error for our result prediction is +/- 3%. We are 81% confident in this prediction. Pennsylvania publishes a wealth of voter data which enables the creation of more models to further adjust the polling data. This model is partially confirmed by the early vote which has been stronger for Republicans than it was in 2016 and 2020. Furthermore, the early vote turnout for Democrats is down compared to 2020. Although, we predict that Harris is winning the early vote by a wide margin, historically, the election day vote of the Republicans outpaces the Democrats.
Beyond Polling Result Prediction
| Democratic | % | Republican | % | Independent | % | Total |
| 3,173,556 |
48.07% |
3,320,779 |
50.30% | 107,612 | 1.63% | 6,601,947 |
Last updated 11/4/24
2024 Pennsylvania Polling Data
*Adjusted polling numbers are only present for Pollsters who polled Pennsylvania in the 2020 election.| Polster | Dem | Dem Adj | Rep | Rep Adj | Dates |
| Susquehanna | 46 | 48.01 | 46 | 45.84 | 10/18 - 10/22/24 |
| Susquehanna | 46 | 48.01 | 46 | 45.84 | 9/16 - 9/22/24 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 47 | 47.01 | 49 | 50.84 | 10/25 - 10/28/24 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 47 | 47.01 | 50 | 51.84 | 10/9 - 10/13/24 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 48 | 48.01 | 48 | 49.84 | 9/19 - 9/22/24 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 46 | 46.01 | 47 | 48.84 | 8/13 - 8/17/24 |
| Trafalgar Group | 47 | 51.01 | 48 | 48.84 | 11/1 - 11/3/24 |
| Trafalgar Group | 43 | 47.01 | 46 | 46.84 | 10/17 - 10/19/24 |
| Trafalgar Group | 45 | 49.01 | 48 | 48.84 | 9/26 - 9/29/24 |
| Trafalgar Group | 45 | 49.01 | 47 | 47.84 | 8/28 - 8/30/24 |
| Trafalgar Group | 44 | 48.01 | 46 | 46.84 | 8/6 - 8/8/24 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 48 | 51.01 | 49 | 48.84 | 11/1 - 11/2/24 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 47 | 50.01 | 48 | 47.84 | 10/26 - 10/27/24 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 47 | 50.01 | 49 | 48.84 | 10/7 - 10/8/24 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 48 | 51.01 | 50 | 49.84 | 9/14 - 9/15/24 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 46 | 49.01 | 47 | 46.84 | 8/18 - 8/19/24 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 40 | 43.01 | 47 | 46.84 | 7/15 - 7/16/24 |
| Emerson | 48 | 48.01 | 49 | 51.84 | 10/21 - 10/22/24 |
| Emerson | 48 | 48.01 | 48 | 50.84 | 9/27 - 9/28/24 |
| Emerson | 48 | 48.01 | 49 | 51.84 | 8/13 - 8/14/24 |
| NY Times/Siena | 44 | 45.01 | 48 | 53.84 | 10/22 - 11/3/24 |
| NY Times/Siena | 48 | 49.01 | 48 | 53.84 | 10/29 - 11/2/24 |
| NY Times/Siena | 50 | 51.01 | 47 | 52.84 | 10/7 - 10/10/24 |
| NY Times/Siena | 50 | 51.01 | 46 | 51.84 | 9/11 - 9/16/24 |
| NY Times/Siena | 50 | 51.01 | 46 | 51.84 | 8/6 - 8/9/24 |
| NY Times/Siena | 47 | 48.01 | 48 | 53.84 | 7/9 - 7/12/24 |
| Quinnipiac | 47 | 46.01 | 49 | 53.84 | 10/24 - 10/28/24 |
| Quinnipiac | 49 | 48.01 | 47 | 51.84 | 10/3 - 10/7/24 |
| Quinnipiac | 51 | 50.01 | 46 | 50.84 | 9/12 - 9/16/24 |
| Quinnipiac | 50 | 49.01 | 47 | 51.84 | 8/8 - 8/12/24 |
| Franklin & Marshall | 49 | 49.01 | 50 | 54.84 | 10/9 - 10/20/24 |
| Franklin & Marshall | 49 | 49.01 | 46 | 50.84 | 9/4 - 9/15/24 |
| FOX News | 49 | 49.01 | 50 | 53.84 | 10/24 - 10/28/24 |
| FOX News | 49 | 49.01 | 49 | 52.84 | 9/20 - 9/24/24 |
| FOX News | 49 | 49.01 | 49 | 52.84 | 7/22 - 7/24/24 |
| CNN | 48 | 45.01 | 48 | 53.84 | 10/23 - 10/28/24 |
| CNN | 47 | 44.01 | 47 | 52.84 | 8/23 - 8/29/24 |
| USA Today/Suffolk | 49 | 50.01 | 49 | 55.84 | 10/27 - 10/30/24 |
| USA Today/Suffolk | 49 | 50.01 | 46 | 52.84 | 9/11 - 9/14/24 |
| PPP | 47 | | 48 | | 7/29 - 7/30/24 |
| PPP | 45 | | 51 | | 7/10 - 7/11/24 |
| UMass Lowell | 48 | | 47 | | 10/16 - 10/23/24 |
| UMass Lowell | 46 | | 45 | | 10/2 - 10/9/24 |
| UMass Lowell | 48 | | 46 | | 9/11 - 9/19/24 |
| Morning Consult | 48 | | 48 | | 10/21 - 10/30/24 |
| CBS News | 49 | | 49 | | 10/22 - 10/28/24 |
| CBS News | 50 | | 50 | | 9/3 - 9/6/24 |
| Atlas Intel | 48 | | 50 | | 11/1 - 11/2/24 |
| Atlas Intel | 48 | | 49 | | 10/27 - 10/30/24 |
| Atlas Intel | 47 | | 50 | | 10/25 - 10/29/24 |
| Atlas Intel | 47 | | 50 | | 10/12 - 10/17/24 |
| Atlas Intel | 48 | | 51 | | 9/20 - 9/25/24 |
| Wall Street Journal | 46 | | 47 | | 9/28 - 10/8/24 |
| Cook Political Report | 50 | | 49 | | 9/19 - 9/25/24 |
| Cook Political Report | 49 | | 48 | | 7/26 - 8/2/24 |
| Bloomberg | 50 | | 48 | | 10/16 - 10/20/24 |
| Bloomberg | 51 | | 46 | | 9/19 - 9/25/24 |
| Bloomberg | 51 | | 47 | | 8/23 - 8/26/24 |
| Bloomberg | 46 | | 50 | | 7/24 - 7/28/24 |
| Fabrizio/Anzalone | 50 | | 47 | | 9/17 - 9/24/24 |
| Remington Research | 47 | | 48 | | 9/16 - 9/20/24 |
| Muhlenberg College | 49 | | 47 | | 10/27 - 10/30/24 |
| Muhlenberg College | 48 | | 48 | | 9/16 - 9/19/24 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 48 | | 49 | | 10/24 - 10/29/24 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 48 | | 49 | | 10/5 - 10/8/24 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 47 | | 48 | | 9/15 - 9/18/24 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 48 | | 48 | | 8/25 - 8/28/24 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 46 | | 48 | | 7/22 - 7/23/24 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 40 | | 49 | | 2/14 - 2/16/24 |
| Marist | 50 | | 48 | | 10/27 - 10/30/24 |
| Marist | 49 | | 49 | | 9/12 - 9/17/24 |
| Washington Post | 48 | | 47 | | 10/26 - 10/30/24 |
| Washington Post | 48 | | 48 | | 9/12 - 9/16/24 |
| co/efficient | 46 | | 48 | | 9/4 - 9/6/24 |
| AmGreatness/NSOR | 47 | | 47 | | 10/22 - 10/26/24 |
| AmGreatness/NSOR | 45 | | 47 | | 7/20 - 7/23/24 |
| AmGreatness/TIPP | 48 | | 49 | | 10/7 - 10/9/24 |
| GSG/NSOR | 48 | | 48 | | 9/23 - 9/29/24 |
Adjusted Polls
| DEM |
S-DEM |
REP |
S-REP |
INDP |
S-INDP |
| 48.42 |
48.10 |
50.84 |
52.02 | 0.59 |
-0.27 |
Unadjusted Polling Averages
| DEM |
S-DEM |
REP |
S-REP |
INDP |
S-INDP |
| 47.56 |
47.56 |
48.00 |
48.00 | 4.44 |
4.44 |
Independent/Undecided Polling
| Year | S-AVG | AVG | Actual | Off By |
| 2016 | 11.51% | 11.51% | 4.37% | 263.39% |
| 2020 | 6.17% | 6.17% | 1.44% | 428.47% |
| 2024 | 4.44% | 4.44% | | |
Most Accurate 2020 Pollsters
For DEMOCRAT Candidate (who also polled in 2024)
| Pollster | Poll | Actual | Off by | Poll Date |
| Rasmussen Reports | 50 | 50.01 | 0.01 | 10/31 - 11/1/20 |
| Franklin & Marshall | 50 | 50.01 | 0.01 | 10/19 - 10/25/20 |
| Emerson | 50 | 50.01 | 0.01 | 10/29 - 10/30/20 |
| FOX News | 50 | 50.01 | 0.01 | 10/17 - 10/20/20 |
| Quinnipiac | 51 | 50.01 | -0.99 | 10/23 - 10/27/20 |
| USA Today/Suffolk | 49 | 50.01 | 1.01 | 10/15 - 10/19/20 |
| NY Times/Siena | 49 | 50.01 | 1.01 | 10/27 - 10/31/20 |
Most Accurate 2020 Pollsters
For REPUBLICAN Candidate (who also polled in 2024)
| Pollster | Poll | Actual | Off by | Poll Date |
| Susquehanna | 49 | 48.84 | -0.16 | 11/1 - 11/2/20 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 49 | 48.84 | -0.16 | 10/30 - 10/31/20 |
| Trafalgar Group | 48 | 48.84 | 0.84 | 10/30 - 10/31/20 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 47 | 48.84 | 1.84 | 10/31 - 11/1/20 |
Predictions Based on Most Accurate Pollsters
| DEM | ADJ | REP | ADJ |
| 47.75 | 47.76 | 48.00 | 48.59 |
Nate Silver Predictions for 2024 (See)
| DEM | REP | Prediction Date |
| 48.00 | 48.30 | 10/22/24 |
Pennsylvania Voter Registration Stats (See)
| Year | Democratic | Gain/Loss | % | Republican | Gain/Loss | % | Independent | Gain/Loss | % | Total | Report Date |
| 2024 | 3,971,607 | -211,685 | 43.70 | 3,673,783 | 156,693 | 40.42 | 1,443,193 | 138,225 | 15.88 | 9,088,583 | 0/0/ |
| 2020 | 4,183,292 | -34,164 | 46.45 | 3,517,090 | 215,908 | 39.06 | 1,304,968 | 100,629 | 14.49 | 9,005,350 | 0/0/ |
| 2016 | 4,217,456 | -48,861 | 48.35 | 3,301,182 | 170,038 | 37.84 | 1,204,339 | 93,785 | 13.81 | 8,722,977 | 0/0/ |
| 2012 | 4,266,317 | -213,196 | 50.14 | 3,131,144 | -111,902 | 36.80 | 1,110,554 | 77,525 | 13.05 | 8,508,015 | 0/0/ |
Pennsylvania Voting Results
| Year | Democratic | Gain/Loss | % | Republican | Gain/Loss | % | Independent | Gain/Loss | % | Total |
| 2020 | 3,458,229 | 487,496 | 49.86 | 3,377,674 | 451,233 | 48.70 | 100,173 | -169,565 | 1.44 | 6,936,076 |
| 2016 | 2,970,733 | -19,541 | 48.17 | 2,926,441 | 246,007 | 47.45 | 269,738 | 184,826 | 4.37 | 6,166,912 |
| 2012 | 2,990,274 | 2,990,274 | 51.95 | 2,680,434 | 2,680,434 | 46.57 | 84,912 | 84,912 | 1.48 | 5,755,620 |
Pennsylvania Vote Projection Based on Total Registration
*This is different (and probably less accurate) than the county level prediction. This prediction model is based solely on total voter registration statistics per party.
| Democratic | % | Republican | % | Independent | % | Total |
| 3,058,144 | 44.77 | 3,660,751 | 53.60 | 111,272 | 1.63 | 6,830,167 |
Party Change Data
This data is based of the Pennsylvania voter registration report found here.
| REPUBLICAN | DEMOCRAT |
| Year | R-LOSS | R-GAIN | R-NET | D-LOSS | D-GAIN | D-NET |
| 2024 | 48,702 | 98,462 | 49,760 | 113,063 | 64,813 | -48,250 |
| 2023 | 2,646 | 57,655 | 55,009 | 55,662 | 35,044 | -20,618 |
| 2022 | 6,977 | 92,431 | 85,454 | 86,701 | 51,920 | -34,781 |
| 2021 | 7,039 | 54,985 | 47,946 | 51,956 | 44,183 | -7,773 |
|
| 2021-2023 | 65,364 | 303,533 | 238,169 | 307,382 | 195,960 | -111,422 |
|
| 2020 | 30,637 | 119,483 | 88,846 | 110,977 | 108,624 | -2,353 |
| 2019 | 15,239 | 56,589 | 41,350 | 57,206 | 54,686 | -2,520 |
| 2018 | 15,178 | 61,465 | 46,287 | 61,872 | 62,310 | 438 |
| 2017 | 8,173 | 41,038 | 32,865 | 45,531 | 37,525 | -8,006 |
|
| 2017-2020 | 69,227 | 278,575 | 209,348 | 275,586 | 263,145 | -12,441 |
|
| 2016 | 25,031 | 171,298 | 146,267 | 157,618 | 127,182 | -30,436 |
| 2015 | 8,890 | 44,887 | 35,997 | 42,469 | 35,780 | -6,689 |
| 2014 | 5,402 | 28,128 | 22,726 | 33,383 | 28,214 | -5,169 |
| 2013 | 4,619 | 23,949 | 19,330 | 25,140 | 21,086 | -4,054 |
|
| 2013-2016 | 43,942 | 268,262 | 224,320 | 258,610 | 212,262 | -46,348 |
|
| TOTAL NET GAIN/LOSS | 622,077 | | | -121,961 |
|
Voting vs. Registration
|
| REGISTERED | VOTES |
| County | Dem | Rep | Ind | Total | Dem | Rep | Indp | Total |
| ADAMS |
| 2016 | 20,173 | 35,990 | 10,555 | 66,718 | 14,219 | 31,423 | 2,348 | 47,990 |
| 2020 | 20,063 | 40,781 | 11,544 | 72,388 | 18,254 | 37,567 | 988 | 56,809 |
| 2022 | 19,559 | 41,276 | 11,635 | 72,470 | 16,096 | 29,039 | 1,284 | 46,419 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 19,185 | 42,682 | 12,262 | 74,129 | 13,693 | 37,193 | 2,728 | 53,614 |
| 2024 B20 | 19,185 | 42,682 | 12,262 | 74,129 | 17,794 | 39,372 | 1,049 | 58,215 |
| ALLEGHENY |
| 2016 | 539,900 | 259,534 | 125,197 | 924,631 | 367,617 | 259,480 | 30,092 | 657,189 |
| 2020 | 539,595 | 267,832 | 134,829 | 942,256 | 430,759 | 282,913 | 11,128 | 724,800 |
| 2022 | 534,256 | 264,235 | 140,997 | 939,488 | 363,873 | 200,632 | 9,204 | 573,709 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 514,800 | 264,640 | 144,551 | 923,991 | 350,526 | 270,804 | 34,744 | 656,075 |
| 2024 B20 | 514,800 | 264,640 | 144,551 | 923,991 | 411,964 | 284,955 | 11,930 | 708,849 |
| ARMSTRONG |
| 2016 | 15,782 | 22,120 | 4,650 | 42,552 | 7,178 | 23,484 | 1,202 | 31,864 |
| 2020 | 13,659 | 25,979 | 5,188 | 44,826 | 8,457 | 27,489 | 480 | 36,426 |
| 2022 | 12,152 | 25,843 | 4,936 | 42,931 | 8,065 | 19,575 | 773 | 28,413 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 11,390 | 27,005 | 5,150 | 43,545 | 5,180 | 26,872 | 867 | 32,919 |
| 2024 B20 | 11,390 | 27,005 | 5,150 | 43,545 | 7,052 | 27,775 | 400 | 35,227 |
| BEAVER |
| 2016 | 59,241 | 40,793 | 13,564 | 113,598 | 32,531 | 48,167 | 3,764 | 84,462 |
| 2020 | 54,281 | 47,214 | 15,456 | 116,951 | 38,122 | 54,759 | 1,516 | 94,397 |
| 2022 | 50,277 | 47,935 | 15,622 | 113,834 | 32,692 | 38,772 | 1,979 | 73,443 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 47,943 | 50,596 | 16,391 | 114,930 | 26,327 | 58,430 | 4,027 | 88,784 |
| 2024 B20 | 47,943 | 50,596 | 16,391 | 114,930 | 33,671 | 58,383 | 1,580 | 93,634 |
| BEDFORD |
| 2016 | 9,465 | 21,731 | 3,264 | 34,460 | 3,645 | 19,552 | 478 | 23,675 |
| 2020 | 7,264 | 23,729 | 3,246 | 34,239 | 4,367 | 23,025 | 218 | 27,610 |
| 2022 | 6,178 | 23,718 | 3,085 | 32,981 | 3,796 | 17,954 | 491 | 22,241 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 5,637 | 24,308 | 3,148 | 33,093 | 2,171 | 20,836 | 301 | 23,308 |
| 2024 B20 | 5,637 | 24,308 | 3,148 | 33,093 | 3,389 | 23,221 | 185 | 26,795 |
| BERKS |
| 2016 | 120,217 | 100,782 | 38,801 | 259,800 | 78,437 | 96,626 | 9,022 | 184,085 |
| 2020 | 118,375 | 110,405 | 43,464 | 272,244 | 93,116 | 109,926 | 3,511 | 206,553 |
| 2022 | 112,740 | 110,718 | 43,879 | 267,337 | 71,349 | 78,019 | 5,456 | 154,824 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 107,949 | 114,811 | 46,969 | 269,729 | 70,433 | 111,106 | 10,921 | 192,460 |
| 2024 B20 | 107,949 | 114,811 | 46,969 | 269,729 | 86,028 | 115,024 | 3,794 | 204,846 |
| BLAIR |
| 2016 | 24,080 | 44,360 | 9,394 | 77,834 | 13,958 | 39,135 | 2,248 | 55,341 |
| 2020 | 22,055 | 48,499 | 9,941 | 80,495 | 17,636 | 45,306 | 806 | 63,748 |
| 2022 | 20,561 | 47,870 | 9,821 | 78,252 | 14,763 | 34,214 | 1,243 | 50,220 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 19,816 | 49,193 | 10,366 | 79,375 | 11,486 | 43,381 | 2,481 | 57,348 |
| 2024 B20 | 19,816 | 49,193 | 10,366 | 79,375 | 16,027 | 46,078 | 840 | 62,944 |
| BRADFORD |
| 2016 | 10,479 | 22,376 | 4,794 | 37,649 | 6,369 | 18,141 | 1,476 | 25,986 |
| 2020 | 9,475 | 24,254 | 5,133 | 38,862 | 8,046 | 21,600 | 586 | 30,232 |
| 2022 | 8,643 | 24,019 | 4,998 | 37,660 | 6,632 | 16,033 | 816 | 23,481 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 8,248 | 24,988 | 5,200 | 38,436 | 5,013 | 20,222 | 1,601 | 26,836 |
| 2024 B20 | 8,248 | 24,988 | 5,200 | 38,436 | 7,149 | 22,226 | 594 | 29,968 |
| BUCKS |
| 2016 | 198,007 | 188,625 | 74,200 | 460,832 | 167,060 | 164,361 | 13,621 | 345,042 |
| 2020 | 208,890 | 198,632 | 80,496 | 488,018 | 204,712 | 187,367 | 5,212 | 397,291 |
| 2022 | 204,177 | 196,510 | 81,151 | 481,838 | 164,536 | 141,340 | 8,435 | 314,311 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 199,359 | 201,479 | 84,140 | 484,978 | 170,882 | 176,498 | 15,445 | 362,824 |
| 2024 B20 | 199,359 | 201,479 | 84,140 | 484,978 | 198,614 | 190,623 | 5,448 | 394,685 |
| BUTLER |
| 2016 | 42,272 | 69,603 | 17,853 | 129,728 | 28,586 | 64,431 | 5,034 | 98,051 |
| 2020 | 43,592 | 79,579 | 20,051 | 143,222 | 37,508 | 74,359 | 1,796 | 113,663 |
| 2022 | 40,371 | 77,648 | 19,325 | 137,344 | 33,921 | 57,168 | 2,246 | 93,335 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 40,048 | 81,212 | 20,710 | 141,970 | 27,082 | 75,136 | 5,840 | 108,058 |
| 2024 B20 | 40,048 | 81,212 | 20,710 | 141,970 | 34,973 | 75,972 | 1,856 | 112,801 |
| CAMBRIA |
| 2016 | 45,378 | 32,756 | 8,714 | 86,848 | 18,867 | 42,258 | 2,464 | 63,589 |
| 2020 | 38,164 | 40,727 | 9,355 | 88,246 | 21,730 | 48,085 | 936 | 70,751 |
| 2022 | 34,264 | 42,613 | 9,368 | 86,245 | 18,849 | 35,847 | 1,652 | 56,348 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 31,638 | 45,467 | 9,685 | 86,790 | 13,154 | 49,279 | 1,247 | 63,680 |
| 2024 B20 | 31,638 | 45,467 | 9,685 | 86,790 | 18,014 | 48,216 | 556 | 66,786 |
| CAMERON |
| 2016 | 1,211 | 1,652 | 369 | 3,232 | 531 | 1,589 | 90 | 2,210 |
| 2020 | 933 | 1,785 | 394 | 3,112 | 634 | 1,771 | 35 | 2,440 |
| 2022 | 818 | 1,810 | 374 | 3,002 | 547 | 1,247 | 92 | 1,886 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 729 | 1,859 | 375 | 2,963 | 320 | 1,716 | 71 | 2,106 |
| 2024 B20 | 729 | 1,859 | 375 | 2,963 | 495 | 1,825 | 33 | 2,354 |
| CARBON |
| 2016 | 18,387 | 17,683 | 6,158 | 42,228 | 8,936 | 18,743 | 1,314 | 28,993 |
| 2020 | 17,831 | 21,822 | 7,328 | 46,981 | 11,212 | 21,984 | 493 | 33,689 |
| 2022 | 15,560 | 21,760 | 6,896 | 44,216 | 9,682 | 15,659 | 891 | 26,232 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 14,621 | 22,992 | 7,258 | 44,871 | 7,106 | 23,523 | 1,352 | 31,981 |
| 2024 B20 | 14,621 | 22,992 | 7,258 | 44,871 | 9,194 | 22,916 | 488 | 32,598 |
| CENTRE |
| 2016 | 51,155 | 47,653 | 24,533 | 123,341 | 37,088 | 35,274 | 4,945 | 77,307 |
| 2020 | 46,881 | 44,591 | 20,626 | 112,098 | 40,055 | 36,372 | 1,464 | 77,891 |
| 2022 | 45,386 | 42,656 | 19,418 | 107,460 | 32,597 | 27,902 | 1,562 | 62,061 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 43,124 | 41,841 | 18,626 | 103,591 | 30,764 | 30,972 | 3,754 | 65,490 |
| 2024 B20 | 43,124 | 41,841 | 18,626 | 103,591 | 36,705 | 34,082 | 1,322 | 72,109 |
| CHESTER |
| 2016 | 136,990 | 155,458 | 62,011 | 354,459 | 141,682 | 116,114 | 15,202 | 272,998 |
| 2020 | 157,378 | 155,381 | 67,598 | 380,357 | 182,372 | 128,565 | 4,816 | 315,753 |
| 2022 | 160,320 | 152,519 | 69,494 | 382,333 | 147,559 | 104,020 | 6,384 | 257,963 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 161,739 | 154,316 | 73,672 | 389,727 | 167,507 | 115,261 | 18,061 | 300,829 |
| 2024 B20 | 161,739 | 154,316 | 73,672 | 389,727 | 190,450 | 127,684 | 5,249 | 323,383 |
| CLARION |
| 2016 | 8,249 | 13,088 | 2,753 | 24,090 | 4,273 | 12,576 | 811 | 17,660 |
| 2020 | 6,839 | 14,807 | 2,744 | 24,390 | 4,678 | 14,578 | 268 | 19,524 |
| 2022 | 6,084 | 14,840 | 2,703 | 23,627 | 4,327 | 10,620 | 424 | 15,371 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 5,651 | 15,380 | 2,786 | 23,817 | 2,927 | 14,644 | 821 | 18,392 |
| 2024 B20 | 5,651 | 15,380 | 2,786 | 23,817 | 3,865 | 15,107 | 272 | 19,245 |
| CLEARFIELD |
| 2016 | 20,717 | 26,296 | 6,213 | 53,226 | 8,200 | 24,932 | 1,418 | 34,550 |
| 2020 | 15,482 | 28,512 | 5,705 | 49,699 | 9,673 | 29,203 | 620 | 39,496 |
| 2022 | 13,830 | 29,170 | 5,517 | 48,517 | 8,533 | 21,948 | 918 | 31,399 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 12,722 | 30,382 | 5,861 | 48,965 | 5,035 | 26,701 | 853 | 32,590 |
| 2024 B20 | 12,722 | 30,382 | 5,861 | 48,965 | 7,949 | 30,321 | 532 | 38,802 |
| CLINTON |
| 2016 | 9,157 | 10,190 | 2,956 | 22,303 | 4,744 | 10,022 | 739 | 15,505 |
| 2020 | 7,613 | 11,908 | 2,866 | 22,387 | 5,502 | 11,902 | 257 | 17,661 |
| 2022 | 6,954 | 12,135 | 2,878 | 21,967 | 4,750 | 8,791 | 476 | 14,017 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 6,433 | 12,982 | 2,976 | 22,391 | 3,333 | 12,518 | 744 | 16,594 |
| 2024 B20 | 6,433 | 12,982 | 2,976 | 22,391 | 4,649 | 12,895 | 267 | 17,812 |
| COLUMBIA |
| 2016 | 16,135 | 18,419 | 6,314 | 40,868 | 8,934 | 18,004 | 1,568 | 28,506 |
| 2020 | 13,676 | 20,139 | 6,073 | 39,888 | 10,532 | 20,098 | 650 | 31,280 |
| 2022 | 12,746 | 20,506 | 5,995 | 39,247 | 9,023 | 14,830 | 892 | 24,745 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 12,311 | 21,713 | 6,295 | 40,319 | 6,817 | 20,873 | 1,563 | 29,253 |
| 2024 B20 | 12,311 | 21,713 | 6,295 | 40,319 | 9,530 | 21,551 | 674 | 31,755 |
| CRAWFORD |
| 2016 | 19,419 | 27,642 | 6,325 | 53,386 | 10,971 | 24,987 | 1,855 | 37,813 |
| 2020 | 18,421 | 31,138 | 7,029 | 56,588 | 12,924 | 28,561 | 629 | 42,114 |
| 2022 | 16,120 | 30,343 | 6,539 | 53,002 | 11,081 | 20,992 | 960 | 33,033 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 15,459 | 31,548 | 6,791 | 53,798 | 8,734 | 28,398 | 1,992 | 39,124 |
| 2024 B20 | 15,459 | 31,548 | 6,791 | 53,798 | 10,869 | 28,786 | 607 | 40,262 |
| CUMBERLAND |
| 2016 | 55,715 | 85,322 | 25,928 | 166,965 | 47,085 | 69,076 | 7,325 | 123,486 |
| 2020 | 64,058 | 92,614 | 30,585 | 187,257 | 62,245 | 77,212 | 2,730 | 142,187 |
| 2022 | 64,310 | 90,968 | 31,195 | 186,473 | 53,278 | 59,663 | 2,986 | 115,927 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 62,196 | 89,364 | 31,614 | 183,174 | 53,365 | 72,473 | 8,931 | 134,769 |
| 2024 B20 | 62,196 | 89,364 | 31,614 | 183,174 | 61,364 | 74,654 | 2,822 | 138,840 |
| DAUPHIN |
| 2016 | 86,930 | 76,863 | 26,508 | 190,301 | 64,706 | 60,863 | 6,214 | 131,783 |
| 2020 | 90,046 | 77,465 | 30,309 | 197,820 | 78,983 | 66,408 | 2,510 | 147,901 |
| 2022 | 88,170 | 75,051 | 31,741 | 194,962 | 61,599 | 50,141 | 2,706 | 114,446 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 87,369 | 76,878 | 35,262 | 199,509 | 67,240 | 61,427 | 8,265 | 136,932 |
| 2024 B20 | 87,369 | 76,878 | 35,262 | 199,509 | 79,190 | 66,375 | 2,920 | 148,485 |
| DELAWARE |
| 2016 | 189,167 | 171,598 | 52,089 | 412,854 | 177,402 | 110,667 | 11,267 | 299,336 |
| 2020 | 208,138 | 160,882 | 56,386 | 425,406 | 206,709 | 118,639 | 4,056 | 329,404 |
| 2022 | 207,210 | 150,620 | 57,471 | 415,301 | 157,599 | 87,322 | 5,746 | 250,667 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 206,427 | 147,889 | 61,866 | 416,182 | 196,007 | 95,377 | 13,382 | 304,766 |
| 2024 B20 | 206,427 | 147,889 | 61,866 | 416,182 | 208,914 | 109,058 | 4,450 | 322,422 |
| ELK |
| 2016 | 9,526 | 8,467 | 2,251 | 20,244 | 3,853 | 10,025 | 669 | 14,547 |
| 2020 | 7,606 | 10,625 | 2,359 | 20,590 | 4,522 | 12,140 | 284 | 16,946 |
| 2022 | 6,767 | 11,122 | 2,336 | 20,225 | 4,066 | 9,128 | 425 | 13,619 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 6,195 | 11,806 | 2,425 | 20,426 | 2,506 | 11,852 | 344 | 14,702 |
| 2024 B20 | 6,195 | 11,806 | 2,425 | 20,426 | 3,683 | 12,365 | 181 | 16,229 |
| ERIE |
| 2016 | 97,597 | 67,494 | 25,131 | 190,222 | 58,112 | 60,069 | 6,948 | 125,129 |
| 2020 | 98,969 | 74,620 | 29,100 | 202,689 | 68,286 | 66,869 | 2,339 | 137,494 |
| 2022 | 84,400 | 68,481 | 25,894 | 178,775 | 56,404 | 46,507 | 2,823 | 105,734 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 80,226 | 70,125 | 26,923 | 177,274 | 47,769 | 62,621 | 7,443 | 117,833 |
| 2024 B20 | 80,226 | 70,125 | 26,923 | 177,274 | 55,516 | 62,675 | 2,164 | 120,355 |
| FAYETTE |
| 2016 | 48,602 | 27,923 | 7,327 | 83,852 | 17,946 | 34,590 | 1,563 | 54,099 |
| 2020 | 39,846 | 34,499 | 8,028 | 82,373 | 20,469 | 41,251 | 559 | 62,279 |
| 2022 | 35,245 | 36,126 | 8,090 | 79,461 | 17,731 | 28,234 | 859 | 46,824 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 32,194 | 39,428 | 8,556 | 80,178 | 11,887 | 39,409 | 696 | 51,992 |
| 2024 B20 | 32,194 | 39,428 | 8,556 | 80,178 | 16,538 | 40,793 | 285 | 57,616 |
| FOREST |
| 2016 | 1,269 | 1,750 | 311 | 3,330 | 626 | 1,684 | 110 | 2,420 |
| 2020 | 1,153 | 1,971 | 384 | 3,508 | 728 | 1,882 | 44 | 2,654 |
| 2022 | 986 | 1,983 | 376 | 3,345 | 694 | 1,434 | 54 | 2,182 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 825 | 2,000 | 380 | 3,205 | 407 | 1,934 | 134 | 2,475 |
| 2024 B20 | 825 | 2,000 | 380 | 3,205 | 521 | 1,905 | 43 | 2,469 |
| FRANKLIN |
| 2016 | 25,117 | 54,576 | 13,325 | 93,018 | 17,465 | 49,768 | 3,273 | 70,506 |
| 2020 | 25,023 | 61,357 | 14,594 | 100,974 | 22,422 | 57,245 | 1,358 | 81,025 |
| 2022 | 23,987 | 61,317 | 14,651 | 99,955 | 18,718 | 44,819 | 1,683 | 65,220 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 23,611 | 63,099 | 15,665 | 102,375 | 16,516 | 57,626 | 3,848 | 77,990 |
| 2024 B20 | 23,611 | 63,099 | 15,665 | 102,375 | 21,635 | 59,068 | 1,457 | 82,159 |
| FULTON |
| 2016 | 2,537 | 5,714 | 936 | 9,187 | 912 | 5,694 | 216 | 6,822 |
| 2020 | 2,013 | 6,801 | 1,022 | 9,836 | 1,085 | 6,824 | 81 | 7,990 |
| 2022 | 1,604 | 6,642 | 883 | 9,129 | 953 | 5,171 | 122 | 6,246 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 1,489 | 7,102 | 1,011 | 9,602 | 535 | 6,597 | 131 | 7,263 |
| 2024 B20 | 1,489 | 7,102 | 1,011 | 9,602 | 803 | 6,918 | 63 | 7,784 |
| GREENE |
| 2016 | 12,474 | 8,060 | 2,056 | 22,590 | 4,482 | 10,849 | 537 | 15,868 |
| 2020 | 10,135 | 10,421 | 2,257 | 22,813 | 4,911 | 12,579 | 207 | 17,697 |
| 2022 | 8,909 | 10,979 | 2,183 | 22,071 | 4,394 | 8,348 | 349 | 13,091 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 8,118 | 11,727 | 2,243 | 22,088 | 2,917 | 12,479 | 199 | 15,595 |
| 2024 B20 | 8,118 | 11,727 | 2,243 | 22,088 | 3,934 | 11,856 | 82 | 15,872 |
| HUNTINGDON |
| 2016 | 9,214 | 17,484 | 3,083 | 29,781 | 4,539 | 14,494 | 833 | 19,866 |
| 2020 | 7,470 | 18,021 | 2,935 | 28,426 | 5,445 | 17,061 | 337 | 22,843 |
| 2022 | 7,068 | 18,397 | 2,947 | 28,412 | 4,665 | 13,035 | 564 | 18,264 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 6,447 | 18,807 | 2,940 | 28,194 | 3,176 | 15,501 | 794 | 19,471 |
| 2024 B20 | 6,447 | 18,807 | 2,940 | 28,194 | 4,721 | 17,745 | 338 | 22,804 |
| INDIANA |
| 2016 | 20,612 | 24,193 | 7,048 | 51,853 | 11,528 | 24,888 | 1,706 | 38,122 |
| 2020 | 17,987 | 27,196 | 6,614 | 51,797 | 12,634 | 28,089 | 566 | 41,289 |
| 2022 | 15,987 | 27,113 | 6,216 | 49,316 | 11,218 | 20,769 | 768 | 32,755 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 15,279 | 28,386 | 6,612 | 50,277 | 8,545 | 28,608 | 1,600 | 38,754 |
| 2024 B20 | 15,279 | 28,386 | 6,612 | 50,277 | 10,732 | 29,151 | 566 | 40,449 |
| JEFFERSON |
| 2016 | 9,579 | 16,971 | 3,376 | 29,926 | 3,650 | 15,192 | 753 | 19,595 |
| 2020 | 8,374 | 20,008 | 3,658 | 32,040 | 4,529 | 17,964 | 379 | 22,872 |
| 2022 | 6,357 | 18,699 | 3,070 | 28,126 | 4,135 | 13,139 | 512 | 17,786 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 5,822 | 19,133 | 3,155 | 28,110 | 2,218 | 16,332 | 508 | 19,058 |
| 2024 B20 | 5,822 | 19,133 | 3,155 | 28,110 | 3,149 | 17,007 | 323 | 20,478 |
| JUNIATA |
| 2016 | 3,970 | 8,444 | 1,426 | 13,840 | 1,821 | 8,273 | 451 | 10,545 |
| 2020 | 3,364 | 9,635 | 1,491 | 14,490 | 2,253 | 9,649 | 170 | 12,072 |
| 2022 | 2,954 | 9,649 | 1,431 | 14,034 | 2,111 | 7,265 | 352 | 9,728 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 2,725 | 9,885 | 1,457 | 14,067 | 1,250 | 9,285 | 318 | 10,853 |
| 2024 B20 | 2,725 | 9,885 | 1,457 | 14,067 | 1,825 | 9,829 | 161 | 11,816 |
| LACKAWANNA |
| 2016 | 91,046 | 42,553 | 14,505 | 148,104 | 51,983 | 48,384 | 4,037 | 104,404 |
| 2020 | 85,956 | 47,059 | 16,374 | 149,389 | 61,991 | 52,334 | 1,370 | 115,695 |
| 2022 | 81,404 | 47,581 | 17,140 | 146,125 | 50,489 | 36,534 | 1,920 | 88,943 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 78,281 | 50,244 | 18,796 | 147,321 | 44,695 | 56,994 | 4,686 | 106,375 |
| 2024 B20 | 78,281 | 50,244 | 18,796 | 147,321 | 56,456 | 56,652 | 1,573 | 114,681 |
| LANCASTER |
| 2016 | 108,172 | 174,365 | 53,254 | 335,791 | 91,093 | 137,914 | 15,825 | 244,832 |
| 2020 | 115,332 | 181,333 | 57,631 | 354,296 | 115,847 | 160,209 | 5,319 | 281,375 |
| 2022 | 114,931 | 179,369 | 58,595 | 352,895 | 94,632 | 124,798 | 5,118 | 224,548 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 113,336 | 181,902 | 62,103 | 357,341 | 97,447 | 143,875 | 18,455 | 259,778 |
| 2024 B20 | 113,336 | 181,902 | 62,103 | 357,341 | 116,490 | 161,157 | 5,732 | 283,379 |
| LAWRENCE |
| 2016 | 27,516 | 23,368 | 6,165 | 57,049 | 14,009 | 25,428 | 1,639 | 41,076 |
| 2020 | 24,190 | 26,566 | 6,711 | 57,467 | 15,978 | 29,597 | 612 | 46,187 |
| 2022 | 22,147 | 27,444 | 6,787 | 56,378 | 13,758 | 21,531 | 917 | 36,206 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 20,804 | 29,197 | 7,273 | 57,274 | 10,592 | 30,867 | 1,619 | 43,077 |
| 2024 B20 | 20,804 | 29,197 | 7,273 | 57,274 | 13,741 | 31,794 | 581 | 46,117 |
| LEBANON |
| 2016 | 27,298 | 47,199 | 12,381 | 86,878 | 18,953 | 40,525 | 3,025 | 62,503 |
| 2020 | 27,645 | 50,937 | 14,059 | 92,641 | 23,932 | 46,731 | 1,195 | 71,858 |
| 2022 | 26,701 | 50,481 | 14,345 | 91,527 | 19,695 | 35,023 | 1,773 | 56,491 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 26,429 | 52,044 | 15,187 | 93,660 | 18,752 | 44,996 | 3,711 | 67,460 |
| 2024 B20 | 26,429 | 52,044 | 15,187 | 93,660 | 23,420 | 47,937 | 1,291 | 72,648 |
| LEHIGH |
| 2016 | 115,745 | 80,623 | 39,713 | 236,081 | 81,324 | 73,690 | 7,719 | 162,733 |
| 2020 | 119,239 | 85,499 | 44,649 | 249,387 | 98,498 | 84,418 | 2,739 | 185,655 |
| 2022 | 115,201 | 84,408 | 46,182 | 245,791 | 73,096 | 59,219 | 3,986 | 136,301 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 113,149 | 88,659 | 49,982 | 251,790 | 80,573 | 82,833 | 9,715 | 173,120 |
| 2024 B20 | 113,149 | 88,659 | 49,982 | 251,790 | 95,431 | 88,686 | 3,067 | 187,184 |
| LUZERNE |
| 2016 | 108,055 | 74,116 | 23,161 | 205,332 | 52,451 | 78,688 | 4,762 | 135,901 |
| 2020 | 106,361 | 86,369 | 28,158 | 220,888 | 64,873 | 86,929 | 1,697 | 153,499 |
| 2022 | 93,198 | 84,246 | 27,104 | 204,548 | 51,504 | 61,978 | 2,841 | 116,323 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 87,332 | 87,415 | 28,574 | 203,321 | 42,392 | 89,176 | 4,333 | 135,901 |
| 2024 B20 | 87,332 | 87,415 | 28,574 | 203,321 | 53,267 | 88,020 | 1,722 | 143,009 |
| LYCOMING |
| 2016 | 22,442 | 38,125 | 9,197 | 69,764 | 13,020 | 35,627 | 2,484 | 51,131 |
| 2020 | 20,996 | 42,871 | 9,899 | 73,766 | 16,971 | 41,462 | 964 | 59,397 |
| 2022 | 19,657 | 42,537 | 9,783 | 71,977 | 13,573 | 31,171 | 1,489 | 46,233 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 18,740 | 43,232 | 10,090 | 72,062 | 10,872 | 40,290 | 2,725 | 53,888 |
| 2024 B20 | 18,740 | 43,232 | 10,090 | 72,062 | 15,300 | 41,856 | 983 | 58,140 |
| MCKEAN |
| 2016 | 7,312 | 14,198 | 3,401 | 24,911 | 4,025 | 11,635 | 804 | 16,464 |
| 2020 | 6,509 | 15,780 | 3,560 | 25,849 | 5,098 | 14,083 | 329 | 19,510 |
| 2022 | 5,961 | 15,516 | 3,584 | 25,061 | 4,135 | 10,076 | 440 | 14,651 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 5,572 | 15,874 | 3,712 | 25,158 | 3,067 | 12,983 | 877 | 16,928 |
| 2024 B20 | 5,572 | 15,874 | 3,712 | 25,158 | 4,461 | 14,213 | 344 | 19,018 |
| MERCER |
| 2016 | 34,096 | 33,047 | 10,122 | 77,265 | 18,733 | 31,544 | 2,562 | 52,839 |
| 2020 | 29,345 | 35,758 | 9,831 | 74,934 | 21,067 | 36,143 | 907 | 58,117 |
| 2022 | 26,600 | 35,981 | 9,754 | 72,335 | 17,080 | 27,049 | 1,223 | 45,352 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 24,710 | 37,489 | 10,105 | 72,304 | 13,576 | 35,297 | 2,558 | 51,431 |
| 2024 B20 | 24,710 | 37,489 | 10,105 | 72,304 | 17,739 | 37,778 | 932 | 56,450 |
| MIFFLIN |
| 2016 | 7,599 | 15,559 | 2,775 | 25,933 | 3,877 | 14,094 | 750 | 18,721 |
| 2020 | 6,652 | 17,703 | 3,006 | 27,361 | 4,603 | 16,670 | 274 | 21,547 |
| 2022 | 6,014 | 17,644 | 2,985 | 26,643 | 3,965 | 12,263 | 557 | 16,785 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 5,467 | 18,039 | 2,903 | 26,409 | 2,789 | 16,243 | 784 | 19,816 |
| 2024 B20 | 5,467 | 18,039 | 2,903 | 26,409 | 3,783 | 16,899 | 265 | 20,947 |
| MONROE |
| 2016 | 51,884 | 36,339 | 21,024 | 109,247 | 33,918 | 33,386 | 2,704 | 70,008 |
| 2020 | 54,511 | 40,395 | 23,394 | 118,300 | 44,060 | 38,726 | 1,248 | 84,034 |
| 2022 | 51,421 | 39,892 | 22,999 | 114,312 | 30,251 | 26,746 | 1,733 | 58,730 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 50,467 | 42,095 | 24,234 | 116,796 | 33,139 | 38,630 | 3,117 | 74,886 |
| 2024 B20 | 50,467 | 42,095 | 24,234 | 116,796 | 41,341 | 40,306 | 1,293 | 82,940 |
| MONTGOMERY |
| 2016 | 272,287 | 215,777 | 89,354 | 577,418 | 256,082 | 162,731 | 19,839 | 438,652 |
| 2020 | 301,803 | 211,868 | 95,524 | 609,195 | 319,511 | 185,460 | 6,949 | 511,920 |
| 2022 | 304,890 | 205,496 | 96,915 | 607,301 | 260,207 | 143,077 | 9,670 | 412,954 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 307,600 | 209,091 | 103,186 | 619,877 | 290,332 | 157,689 | 22,910 | 470,930 |
| 2024 B20 | 307,600 | 209,091 | 103,186 | 619,877 | 329,534 | 183,292 | 7,506 | 520,332 |
| MONTOUR |
| 2016 | 4,742 | 6,295 | 2,061 | 13,098 | 2,857 | 5,288 | 411 | 8,556 |
| 2020 | 4,813 | 6,914 | 2,290 | 14,017 | 3,771 | 5,844 | 202 | 9,817 |
| 2022 | 4,037 | 6,361 | 1,903 | 12,301 | 3,213 | 4,328 | 292 | 7,833 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 3,829 | 6,499 | 1,903 | 12,231 | 2,307 | 5,393 | 380 | 8,079 |
| 2024 B20 | 3,829 | 6,499 | 1,903 | 12,231 | 3,019 | 5,439 | 168 | 8,626 |
| NORTHAMPTON |
| 2016 | 99,075 | 73,473 | 38,854 | 211,402 | 66,275 | 71,736 | 6,558 | 144,569 |
| 2020 | 102,476 | 81,395 | 43,562 | 227,433 | 85,087 | 83,854 | 2,458 | 171,399 |
| 2022 | 99,451 | 81,708 | 43,875 | 225,034 | 66,565 | 59,860 | 3,562 | 129,987 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 97,272 | 84,782 | 46,027 | 228,081 | 65,069 | 83,263 | 7,769 | 156,101 |
| 2024 B20 | 97,272 | 84,782 | 46,027 | 228,081 | 81,675 | 87,602 | 2,597 | 171,874 |
| NORTHUMBERLAND |
| 2016 | 21,711 | 27,678 | 7,107 | 56,496 | 9,788 | 25,427 | 1,692 | 36,907 |
| 2020 | 19,167 | 30,468 | 7,984 | 57,619 | 12,703 | 28,975 | 757 | 42,435 |
| 2022 | 18,515 | 31,681 | 8,435 | 58,631 | 10,812 | 20,992 | 1,091 | 32,895 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 16,294 | 31,655 | 7,899 | 55,848 | 7,346 | 28,529 | 1,610 | 37,484 |
| 2024 B20 | 16,294 | 31,655 | 7,899 | 55,848 | 10,799 | 29,908 | 749 | 41,456 |
| PERRY |
| 2016 | 7,177 | 18,045 | 3,505 | 28,727 | 4,632 | 15,616 | 1,123 | 21,371 |
| 2020 | 6,590 | 19,673 | 3,771 | 30,034 | 5,950 | 18,293 | 485 | 24,728 |
| 2022 | 6,258 | 19,876 | 3,767 | 29,901 | 5,646 | 13,956 | 629 | 20,231 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 6,133 | 20,583 | 3,954 | 30,670 | 3,958 | 17,802 | 1,267 | 23,028 |
| 2024 B20 | 6,133 | 20,583 | 3,954 | 30,670 | 5,635 | 19,142 | 508 | 25,285 |
| PHILADELPHIA |
| 2016 | 853,091 | 125,557 | 123,912 | 1,102,560 | 584,025 | 108,748 | 16,845 | 709,618 |
| 2020 | 856,949 | 130,566 | 141,768 | 1,129,283 | 604,175 | 132,870 | 6,921 | 743,966 |
| 2022 | 807,897 | 120,960 | 143,271 | 1,072,128 | 412,841 | 78,408 | 7,902 | 499,151 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 787,699 | 127,095 | 160,658 | 1,075,452 | 541,508 | 120,597 | 21,840 | 683,945 |
| 2024 B20 | 787,699 | 127,095 | 160,658 | 1,075,452 | 559,040 | 137,159 | 7,843 | 704,042 |
| PIKE |
| 2016 | 13,972 | 17,802 | 8,313 | 40,087 | 9,268 | 16,061 | 974 | 26,303 |
| 2020 | 14,847 | 20,343 | 9,479 | 44,669 | 13,052 | 19,241 | 323 | 32,616 |
| 2022 | 14,285 | 20,759 | 9,623 | 44,667 | 9,821 | 14,792 | 583 | 25,196 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 13,870 | 22,014 | 10,010 | 45,894 | 9,314 | 19,757 | 1,172 | 30,244 |
| 2024 B20 | 13,870 | 22,014 | 10,010 | 45,894 | 12,484 | 20,731 | 341 | 33,556 |
| POTTER |
| 2016 | 2,844 | 7,051 | 1,110 | 11,005 | 1,302 | 6,251 | 311 | 7,864 |
| 2020 | 2,305 | 7,755 | 1,250 | 11,310 | 1,726 | 7,239 | 120 | 9,085 |
| 2022 | 2,043 | 7,697 | 1,253 | 10,993 | 1,415 | 5,486 | 207 | 7,108 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 1,848 | 8,005 | 1,243 | 11,096 | 846 | 7,000 | 285 | 8,131 |
| 2024 B20 | 1,848 | 8,005 | 1,243 | 11,096 | 1,388 | 7,448 | 119 | 8,955 |
| SCHUYLKILL |
| 2016 | 33,846 | 43,996 | 10,147 | 87,989 | 16,770 | 44,001 | 2,614 | 63,385 |
| 2020 | 30,140 | 48,777 | 11,505 | 90,422 | 20,727 | 48,871 | 1,157 | 70,755 |
| 2022 | 28,059 | 48,980 | 11,665 | 88,704 | 17,954 | 35,293 | 2,166 | 55,413 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 26,550 | 51,263 | 12,624 | 90,437 | 13,155 | 50,278 | 2,584 | 66,017 |
| 2024 B20 | 26,550 | 51,263 | 12,624 | 90,437 | 18,258 | 51,653 | 1,270 | 71,181 |
| SNYDER |
| 2016 | 5,587 | 13,863 | 2,814 | 22,264 | 4,002 | 11,725 | 759 | 16,486 |
| 2020 | 5,378 | 15,390 | 2,940 | 23,708 | 4,910 | 13,983 | 288 | 19,181 |
| 2022 | 4,924 | 14,887 | 2,707 | 22,518 | 4,220 | 10,657 | 459 | 15,336 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 4,803 | 15,549 | 2,874 | 23,226 | 3,491 | 13,110 | 775 | 17,377 |
| 2024 B20 | 4,803 | 15,549 | 2,874 | 23,226 | 4,466 | 14,108 | 281 | 18,856 |
| SOMERSET |
| 2016 | 17,611 | 27,363 | 4,719 | 49,693 | 7,376 | 27,379 | 1,318 | 36,073 |
| 2020 | 13,789 | 30,659 | 4,837 | 49,285 | 8,654 | 31,466 | 506 | 40,626 |
| 2022 | 12,435 | 31,488 | 4,922 | 48,845 | 7,660 | 23,964 | 904 | 32,528 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 11,401 | 32,439 | 5,105 | 48,945 | 4,775 | 30,232 | 799 | 35,806 |
| 2024 B20 | 11,401 | 32,439 | 5,105 | 48,945 | 7,155 | 32,399 | 417 | 39,972 |
| SULLIVAN |
| 2016 | 1,526 | 2,422 | 456 | 4,404 | 750 | 2,291 | 111 | 3,152 |
| 2020 | 1,286 | 2,588 | 455 | 4,329 | 921 | 2,619 | 58 | 3,598 |
| 2022 | 1,217 | 2,693 | 499 | 4,409 | 869 | 2,023 | 124 | 3,016 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 1,146 | 2,801 | 533 | 4,480 | 563 | 2,643 | 125 | 3,331 |
| 2024 B20 | 1,146 | 2,801 | 533 | 4,480 | 821 | 2,858 | 68 | 3,747 |
| SUSQUEHANNA |
| 2016 | 8,035 | 15,002 | 3,336 | 26,373 | 5,123 | 12,891 | 1,029 | 19,043 |
| 2020 | 7,268 | 16,353 | 3,591 | 27,212 | 6,236 | 15,207 | 370 | 21,813 |
| 2022 | 6,859 | 16,486 | 3,618 | 26,963 | 5,245 | 11,520 | 546 | 17,311 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 6,356 | 16,894 | 3,763 | 27,013 | 4,052 | 14,518 | 1,161 | 19,732 |
| 2024 B20 | 6,356 | 16,894 | 3,763 | 27,013 | 5,565 | 15,730 | 387 | 21,682 |
| TIOGA |
| 2016 | 7,183 | 15,892 | 3,517 | 26,592 | 3,901 | 13,614 | 992 | 18,507 |
| 2020 | 6,033 | 17,377 | 3,508 | 26,918 | 4,955 | 15,742 | 429 | 21,126 |
| 2022 | 5,504 | 17,270 | 3,440 | 26,214 | 4,103 | 11,988 | 541 | 16,632 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 5,208 | 17,879 | 3,582 | 26,669 | 2,828 | 15,220 | 1,010 | 19,058 |
| 2024 B20 | 5,208 | 17,879 | 3,582 | 26,669 | 4,365 | 16,187 | 438 | 20,990 |
| UNION |
| 2016 | 7,625 | 12,910 | 4,134 | 24,669 | 6,180 | 10,622 | 894 | 17,696 |
| 2020 | 7,902 | 14,046 | 4,311 | 26,259 | 7,475 | 12,356 | 361 | 20,192 |
| 2022 | 7,899 | 14,010 | 4,380 | 26,289 | 6,249 | 9,401 | 444 | 16,094 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 7,811 | 14,067 | 4,181 | 26,059 | 6,316 | 11,560 | 904 | 18,780 |
| 2024 B20 | 7,811 | 14,067 | 4,181 | 26,059 | 7,356 | 12,361 | 350 | 20,067 |
| VENANGO |
| 2016 | 11,081 | 17,516 | 4,058 | 32,655 | 6,309 | 16,021 | 1,200 | 23,530 |
| 2020 | 9,736 | 19,276 | 4,284 | 33,296 | 7,585 | 18,569 | 447 | 26,601 |
| 2022 | 9,027 | 19,180 | 4,295 | 32,502 | 6,777 | 13,406 | 671 | 20,854 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 8,489 | 19,699 | 4,412 | 32,600 | 4,833 | 17,972 | 1,305 | 24,111 |
| 2024 B20 | 8,489 | 19,699 | 4,412 | 32,600 | 6,640 | 18,994 | 460 | 26,094 |
| WARREN |
| 2016 | 10,502 | 15,118 | 4,526 | 30,146 | 5,145 | 12,477 | 984 | 18,606 |
| 2020 | 9,698 | 16,761 | 4,972 | 31,431 | 6,066 | 14,237 | 354 | 20,657 |
| 2022 | 7,508 | 15,007 | 4,054 | 26,569 | 5,420 | 10,175 | 497 | 16,092 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 6,874 | 15,466 | 4,038 | 26,378 | 3,368 | 12,594 | 878 | 16,840 |
| 2024 B20 | 6,874 | 15,466 | 4,038 | 26,378 | 4,300 | 12,889 | 288 | 17,477 |
| WASHINGTON |
| 2016 | 68,026 | 55,307 | 15,502 | 138,835 | 36,322 | 61,386 | 4,559 | 102,267 |
| 2020 | 67,037 | 68,212 | 18,758 | 154,007 | 45,088 | 72,080 | 1,588 | 118,756 |
| 2022 | 58,625 | 67,896 | 18,031 | 144,552 | 39,684 | 52,337 | 1,815 | 93,836 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 55,666 | 70,930 | 18,893 | 145,489 | 29,722 | 77,086 | 4,902 | 111,711 |
| 2024 B20 | 55,666 | 70,930 | 18,893 | 145,489 | 37,440 | 74,582 | 1,599 | 113,621 |
| WAYNE |
| 2016 | 10,152 | 18,116 | 5,415 | 33,683 | 7,008 | 16,244 | 766 | 24,018 |
| 2020 | 9,982 | 20,058 | 5,665 | 35,705 | 9,191 | 18,637 | 319 | 28,147 |
| 2022 | 9,521 | 20,208 | 5,785 | 35,514 | 7,669 | 14,425 | 618 | 22,712 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 9,187 | 21,278 | 6,024 | 36,489 | 6,394 | 18,952 | 853 | 26,199 |
| 2024 B20 | 9,187 | 21,278 | 6,024 | 36,489 | 8,689 | 19,776 | 339 | 28,804 |
| WESTMORELAND |
| 2016 | 113,582 | 103,853 | 28,585 | 246,020 | 59,669 | 116,522 | 7,301 | 183,492 |
| 2020 | 103,415 | 119,733 | 30,688 | 253,836 | 72,192 | 130,299 | 2,839 | 205,330 |
| 2022 | 95,378 | 122,590 | 30,644 | 248,612 | 66,240 | 98,238 | 3,531 | 168,009 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 90,602 | 127,748 | 31,653 | 250,003 | 47,597 | 136,593 | 6,322 | 190,512 |
| 2024 B20 | 90,602 | 127,748 | 31,653 | 250,003 | 63,247 | 137,267 | 2,789 | 203,303 |
| WYOMING |
| 2016 | 5,350 | 9,592 | 1,923 | 16,865 | 3,811 | 8,837 | 614 | 13,262 |
| 2020 | 5,353 | 10,861 | 2,128 | 18,342 | 4,704 | 9,936 | 260 | 14,900 |
| 2022 | 4,958 | 10,615 | 2,070 | 17,643 | 4,059 | 7,338 | 382 | 11,779 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 4,753 | 10,993 | 2,231 | 17,977 | 3,386 | 10,136 | 712 | 14,234 |
| 2024 B20 | 4,753 | 10,993 | 2,231 | 17,977 | 4,247 | 10,081 | 273 | 14,601 |
| YORK |
| 2016 | 102,563 | 147,452 | 45,880 | 295,895 | 68,524 | 128,528 | 10,977 | 208,029 |
| 2020 | 101,536 | 159,898 | 49,674 | 311,108 | 88,114 | 146,733 | 4,299 | 239,146 |
| 2022 | 99,219 | 160,908 | 51,799 | 311,926 | 71,929 | 109,631 | 4,991 | 186,551 |
|
| 2024 B16 | 98,303 | 167,367 | 56,990 | 322,660 | 66,270 | 147,326 | 13,636 | 227,231 |
| 2024 B20 | 98,303 | 167,367 | 56,990 | 322,660 | 87,790 | 154,981 | 4,932 | 247,704 |
Projections Based on Registration Data
| Based on | Democrat | Republican | Independant |
| 2016 | 2,818,153 (44.27%) | 3,246,317 (50.99%) | 301,785 (4.74%) |
| 2020 | 3,286,248 (48.13%) | 3,436,297 (50.33%) | 105,036 (1.54%) |
| Lowest | 2,818,153 | 3,239,891 |
| Highest | 3,286,248 | 3,442,723 |
Early Vote for Pennsylvania in 2024
| Type | Year | Dem | % | Rep | % | Indp | % | Total |
| Total Early Vote | 2024 | 1,070,455 | 57% | 619,737 | 33% | 187,799 | 10% | 1,877,992 |
| Total Early Vote | 2020 | 1,702,484 | 64.7% | 623,404 | 23.7% | 303,784 | 11.6% | 2,629,672 |
| Mail-In Received | 2020 | 1,702,484 | 64.7% | 623,404 | 23.7% | 303,784 | 11.6% | 2,629,672 |
| Mail-In Requests | 2020 | 1,941,131 | 62.9% | 784,851 | 25.4% | 361,542 | 11.7% | 3,087,524 |
The 2024 early vote data is from NBC News and is based on data from Target Smart. NBC provides percents which have been converted to numbers. 2020 early vote data provided by U.S. Elections Project.